Live Chasing!

Monday, March 19, 2012

3/19/12 Forecast

The main trough and associated line of convection is crawling east towards the DFW area today.  The environment out ahead of the line in N TX is characterized by excellent speed shear, moderate instability, high ESRH values, low LCL's, and clearing skies.  As of now, the wind profilers are not showing a lot of turning between 850 and 500mb.  This worries me.  I'm afraid this broken line of storms will congeal and move through the area with no discrete supercells.  I will nervously watching sat and radar and waiting for anything to become dominant on the line or for something to fire out ahead of it.

If something can become discrete, it has a high probability to become tornadic.

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